The cumulative drift is currently +46.3% above the original forecast (an excess of 6,420 CVEs), leading to a revised 2026 projection of ~68K CVEs.There were many questions earlier this year when we produced prediction intervals as wide as 100k. Still, an important feature of a forecast is that it encompasses unlikely but realistically possible outcomes. AI-assisted discovery has increased the chances that we see what many people would consider an extreme number of vulnerabilities this year, and we take such things into account when producing the strategic forecast.